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With gasoline prices rising modestly and the cost of household utilities dropping in recent months, the increase in the annual inflation rate is expected to slow. Excluding the volatile food and energy components, the CPI rose 0.2 percent, matching May’s gain. That lifted the annual increase in the so-called core CPI to 2.3 percent, the largest rise since January 2017, from 2.2 percent in May. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast both the CPI and core CPI rising 0.2 percent in June. The Fed tracks a different inflation measure, which hit the U.S. central bank’s 2 percent target in May for the first time in six years. Economists expect the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, excluding food and energy, to slightly overshoot its target.
Fed officials have indicated they would not be too concerned with inflation overshooting its target, The Fed raised interest rates in June for a second time this year and has forecast two more rate hikes before the end of 2018, “While we continue to expect the next hike in September, even the hawks may sound more comfortable with the current gradual tightening pace,” said Michael Feroli, an economist at JPMorgan in New York, The dollar was little changed against a basket monogrammed cuff links of currencies while stocks on Wall Street were trading higher, Prices for U.S, Treasuries were mostly flat..
LOW LAY-OFFS. In another report on Thursday, the Labor Department said initial claims for state unemployment benefits dropped 18,000 to a seasonally adjusted 214,000 for the week ended July 7, the lowest level since early May. That suggests robust labor market conditions prevailed in early July after the economy added 213,000 jobs in June. Steadily rising inflation, however, is eating into workers’ modest wage gains. Inflation-adjusted average weekly earnings rose 0.1 percent in June following a similar gain in May.
While economists do not expect inflation to accelerate much from current levels, they cautioned that the Trump administration’s protectionist trade measures could boost prices, Tariffs on lumber, aluminum and steel imports have left, manufacturers facing rising input costs, So far, they have not passed on those higher costs to consumers, President Donald Trump imposed the tariffs to protect domestic industries from what he says is monogrammed cuff links unfair competition from foreign manufacturers, Last week, Trump slapped 25 percent tariffs on $34 billion of Chinese imports, On Tuesday, Trump threatened 10 percent tariffs on an additional $200 billion of Chinese goods..
“We do not anticipate much movement in the year-ago rate of core CPI over the next few months,” said Sarah House, a senior economist at Wells Fargo Securities in Charlotte, North Carolina. “Broadening tariffs, including the possibility of consumer goods getting hit directly, create some upside risk to our inflation forecast in the second half of the year, however.”. In June, gasoline prices rose 0.5 percent after increasing 1.7 percent in May. Food prices gained 0.2 percent, with food consumed at home rebounding 0.2 percent after falling 0.2 percent in May. Food prices were unchanged in May.
Owners’ equivalent rent of primary residence, which is what a homeowner would pay to rent or receive from renting a home, rose 0.3 percent last month after increasing by the same margin in May, But the cost of hotel accommodations fell a record 4.1 percent, Healthcare costs advanced 0.4 percent, with the price of hospital services surging 0.8 percent, Healthcare prices gained 0.2 percent in May, and consumers also paid more for prescription medication last month, Prices for new motor vehicles rose for a second straight month, There were also increases in the cost of communication, monogrammed cuff links motor vehicle insurance, education and alcoholic beverages..
(Reuters) - Delta Air Lines Inc (DAL.N) topped estimates for quarterly profit and operating revenue Thursday as a rise in average fares trumped an almost 40 percent surge in fuel costs, pushing shares higher. Delta said it flew 3.2 percent more paying customers in the quarter and both average fares and adjusted total unit revenue - a closely-watched industry measure which compares sales with flight capacity - increased 4.6 percent. Given the additional fuel costs, however, the airline also said that it planned to cut less profitable flights in its new schedule for the second half of this year.
“With strong revenue momentum, an improving cost trajectory, and monogrammed cuff links a reduction of 50-100 bps (basis points) of underperforming capacity from our fall schedule, we have positioned Delta to return to margin expansion by year end,” Chief Executive Officer Ed Bastian said, As developing middle classes in the world’s big emerging economies including China and India fly more, global air passenger traffic has risen every month this year, While that has bolstered airlines across the board, they are also facing the fallout of a more than doubling of crude oil prices since early 2016..