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“The risk that current trade tensions escalate further with adverse effects on confidence, asset prices and investment is the greatest near-term risk to global growth,” IMF Chief Economist Maury Obstfeld told a news conference, noting that U.S. trade deficits are likely to grow due to high demand, possibly inflaming trade tensions further. The reduction in output takes into account active U.S. global tariffs on steel and aluminum, as well as an initial $34 billion in Chinese goods, along with retaliatory measures. Other threatened actions, which include another round of tariffs on an additional $200 billion in Chinese goods and a 25 percent U.S. global tariff on car imports now under study, are also included.

“As the focus of global retaliation, the United States finds a relatively high share of its exports taxed in global markets in such a broader trade conflict, and it is therefore especially vulnerable,” Obstfeld added, The IMF left unchanged its global economic growth forecasts at 3.9 percent for both 2018 and 2019, compared to its previous forecast issued in April, Obstfeld said these projections only take into account tariffs currently in force, so larger actions such as possible automotive tariffs gucci lion cufflinks were not included..

Still, he said that growth momentum was slowing. While the IMF in April rounded down growth projections to reach the 3.9 percent forecast, for the July update, the numbers were rounded up slightly to reach that same level. Forecasts for the United States and China were both unchanged, with U.S. growth pegged at 2.9 percent in 2018 and 2.7 percent in 2019. China’s growth was forecast at 6.6 percent in 2018 and 6.4 percent in 2019. But the fund cut its 2018 growth forecasts for euro zone countries and for Japan and Britain, citing a softer-than-expected first-quarter performance coupled with tighter financial conditions partly due to political uncertainty.

The euro zone’s 2018 growth forecast was cut to 2.2 percent from 2.4 percent, with Britain cut to 1.4 percent from 1.6 percent, Japan’s growth projection was cut to 1.0 percent from 1.2 percent, The IMF also trimmed 2018 forecasts for some emerging market countries, notably a half percentage point cut for Brazil to 1.8 percent due to the lingering effects of labor strikes and political uncertainty, The fund also cut India’s growth rate by a tenth of a point to 7.5 percent due to the gucci lion cufflinks negative effects of higher oil prices on domestic demand and faster-than-anticipated monetary policy tightening due to higher inflation..

FARNBOROUGH, England (Reuters) - Qatar Airways chief executive said the airline was adapting to a regional blockade that has prevented it flying some routes, and that those restrictions would not necessarily push it into the red for the current financial year. “There is a possibility that we will post also a loss in our current financial year, but it’s only a possibility,” Chief Executive Akbar al-Baker told reporters at the Farnborough Airshow on Monday. The airline lost access to 18 cities in Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Egypt, and Bahrain in mid-2017, when those four countries cut ties with Qatar after accusing it of supporting terrorism. Qatar denies the charges.

The restrictions mean the company is set to post what al-Baker has said will be “a very large loss” for the financial year ended March 2018, but it has not been published yet, Al-Baker said this would be made public in the coming weeks, But for the current year, he said the airline might be able to mitigate the impact of the blockade, which includes a ban on using airspace over the four countries, meaning some of its flights have to take much longer routes, Qatar Airways is starting up to 18 new routes to offset the impact of the blockade, and said it could gucci lion cufflinks also make investments to help to boost its results..

“We will try to do investments which will give us returns to mitigate the negative impact on the bottom line of our company,” he said, without giving further details. Qatar Airways is already an investor in British Airways-owner IAG (ICAG.L), for example, owning about a 20 percent stake, and last year bought a stake in Italian carrier Meridiana. The CEO said he did not see the situation with the blockade improving any time soon. He also said the airline was only moderately hedged on fuel and might need to hedge more in future as the price of oil rises.

FARNBOROUGH, England (Reuters) - Northrop Grumman Corp (NOC.N) is upbeat about the prospects for the sale of its high-altitude Triton MQ-4C unmanned surveillance system to Germany, but says the deal could take several years to complete, Brian Chappel, sector vice president and general manager of autonomous systems at Northrop, said the German government was gucci lion cufflinks working closely with the U.S, Navy to move forward after the State Department in April authorized the sale of up to four drones worth up to $2.5 billion..

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